TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nadia Lagaev and Carolina Kuhl in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Lagaev' if Nadia Lagaev advances against Carolina Kuhl. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Kuhl' if Carolina Kuhl advances against Nadia Lagaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nadia Lagaev and Carolina Kuhl in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Lagaev' if Nadia Lagaev advances against Carolina Kuhl. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Kuhl' if Carolina Kuhl advances against Nadia Lagaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more informed traders. It’s useful to compare the two to identify potential value, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s potential results. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they bring to bear.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nadia Lagaev vs. Carolina Kuhl tennis match in Saguenay. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026.