TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Rouvroy and Katherine Sebov in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Rouvroy' if Margaux Rouvroy advances against Katherine Sebov. This market will resolve to 'Katherine Sebov' if Katherine Sebov advances against Margaux Rouvroy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Rouvroy and Katherine Sebov in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Rouvroy' if Margaux Rouvroy advances against Katherine Sebov. This market will resolve to 'Katherine Sebov' if Katherine Sebov advances against Margaux Rouvroy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to reflect a more pure assessment of probabilities, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights about the players.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, signaling growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of shares available at different price points, indicates the strength of conviction among traders and potential price volatility. The current trading volume provides insight into the level of interest in this match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Saguenay tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player who wins the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be considered the winning outcome for this market. The resolution will be based on the official score and any applicable rules governing the event, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide valuable insights into potential catalysts for market movement.