TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Linea Bajraliu and Jamilah Snells in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linea Bajraliu' if Linea Bajraliu advances against Jamilah Snells. This market will resolve to 'Jamilah Snells' if Jamilah Snells advances against Linea Bajraliu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Linea Bajraliu and Jamilah Snells in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linea Bajraliu' if Linea Bajraliu advances against Jamilah Snells. This market will resolve to 'Jamilah Snells' if Jamilah Snells advances against Linea Bajraliu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a certain player winning, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer. It's common to see discrepancies, though, as each operates under different incentives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's potential result. The more shares purchased for Linea Bajraliu, for example, the higher her implied probability of winning will become, and vice versa for Jamilah Snells.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Saguenay tennis match between Linea Bajraliu and Jamilah Snells, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. For example, if Linea Bajraliu were to withdraw from another tournament due to injury, her price on Polymarket would likely decrease. Similarly, positive news about Jamilah Snells' recent performance could increase her implied probability of winning. Even weather forecasts for Saguenay could play a role, as conditions might favor one player's style of play over the other. These are just a few examples of the signals traders will be monitoring.