TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Irina Balus and Avery Alexander in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irina Balus' if Irina Balus advances against Avery Alexander. This market will resolve to 'Avery Alexander' if Avery Alexander advances against Irina Balus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Irina Balus and Avery Alexander in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irina Balus' if Irina Balus advances against Avery Alexander. This market will resolve to 'Avery Alexander' if Avery Alexander advances against Irina Balus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe one player is more likely to win than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that player will increase. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading occurs, as the market aggregates information from a diverse set of participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The market is currently driven by user sentiment and trading activity, and the price will fluctuate until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Saguenay tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. Any disputes will be settled based on the official tournament results and generally accepted tennis scoring rules. The platform will then determine the payout for winning shares based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather forecasts), or even significant shifts in public opinion based on pre-match analysis could all cause price movements. Unexpected announcements about a player’s form or strategy could also lead to increased trading activity and a change in the odds. Any updates related to the players’ recent performance or potential advantages could significantly impact the market.