TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiromi Abe and Carolina Kuhl in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Carolina Kuhl. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Kuhl' if Carolina Kuhl advances against Hiromi Abe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiromi Abe and Carolina Kuhl in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Carolina Kuhl. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Kuhl' if Carolina Kuhl advances against Hiromi Abe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, driven by informed traders on Polymarket, can offer a different perspective on the probability of each player winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions about the players’ form and potential.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's likely result. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a share representing a particular player's victory, effectively forecasting the outcome based on real-time market activity.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hiromi Abe vs Carolina Kuhl tennis match in Saguenay. The player who wins the match, as determined by official tournament organizers, will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 30, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on their recent performance could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments might also affect the market. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could trigger price movements as traders react to new information or adjust their positions based on evolving insights.