TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eve Thibault and Michaela Bayerlova in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eve Thibault' if Eve Thibault advances against Michaela Bayerlova. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Eve Thibault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eve Thibault and Michaela Bayerlova in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eve Thibault' if Eve Thibault advances against Michaela Bayerlova. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Eve Thibault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders making their own assessments. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s life cycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and insights not immediately reflected in sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market, making it a valuable indicator of expectations for the Saguenay tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eve Thibault versus Michaela Bayerlova tennis match in Saguenay. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in public perception of their capabilities, could also drive price movement. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as weather forecasts or schedule changes, might also impact trading volume and the implied probabilities within this market.