TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Clervie Ngounoue and Luisa Hrda in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clervie Ngounoue' if Clervie Ngounoue advances against Luisa Hrda. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Hrda' if Luisa Hrda advances against Clervie Ngounoue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Clervie Ngounoue and Luisa Hrda in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clervie Ngounoue' if Clervie Ngounoue advances against Luisa Hrda. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Hrda' if Luisa Hrda advances against Clervie Ngounoue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the prediction market odds may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, offering a different perspective on the potential outcome of the Saguenay tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and analysis, constantly updating the probabilities until the event concludes. The current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Saguenay tennis match between Clervie Ngounoue and Luisa Hrda will determine the resolution. The official results from the tournament organizers will be used to verify the outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who backed the losing player will forfeit their shares. This allows for a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also cause movement. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion, can all contribute to fluctuations in the price of shares until the Saguenay tennis match is completed. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves.