TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Ava Catanzarite in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carson Tanguilig' if Carson Tanguilig advances against Ava Catanzarite. This market will resolve to 'Ava Catanzarite' if Ava Catanzarite advances against Carson Tanguilig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Ava Catanzarite in the W75 Saguenay, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carson Tanguilig' if Carson Tanguilig advances against Ava Catanzarite. This market will resolve to 'Ava Catanzarite' if Ava Catanzarite advances against Carson Tanguilig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular player, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on the market. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the market, as a whole, believes is the likelihood of each player winning the Saguenay tennis match. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Saguenay tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Ava Catanzarite. Specifically, the winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over another. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket from well-informed traders could cause noticeable price movements. Finally, any shifts in public perception or analysis of the players’ chances could contribute to changes in the market’s pricing.