TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayana Akli and Kayla Cross in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayana Akli' if Ayana Akli advances against Kayla Cross. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Cross' if Kayla Cross advances against Ayana Akli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayana Akli and Kayla Cross in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayana Akli' if Ayana Akli advances against Kayla Cross. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Cross' if Kayla Cross advances against Ayana Akli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each player winning. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not immediately consider. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each player, Ayana Akli and Kayla Cross. The price of each share reflects the probability of that player winning, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price of a share is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with buyers bidding up the price and sellers offering shares at lower prices. This dynamic process aims to create a real-time estimate of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Saguenay tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which player won and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all shift the perceived probabilities of each player winning. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and lead to significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and events can help traders identify potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.