TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Katherine Sebov in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Katherine Sebov. This market will resolve to 'Katherine Sebov' if Katherine Sebov advances against Ariana Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Katherine Sebov in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Katherine Sebov. This market will resolve to 'Katherine Sebov' if Katherine Sebov advances against Ariana Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to prediction market odds diverging from, or converging towards, sportsbook lines as new information and opinions are incorporated. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly disagrees with initial assessments.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Saguenay tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Katherine Sebov. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also affect confidence in either player. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price movement. Even weather forecasts for Saguenay could play a role, as conditions might favor one player's style of play over the other.