TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Veronika Podrez and Francesca Curmi in the W75 Poitiers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Veronika Podrez' if Veronika Podrez advances against Francesca Curmi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Veronika Podrez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Veronika Podrez and Francesca Curmi in the W75 Poitiers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Veronika Podrez' if Veronika Podrez advances against Francesca Curmi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Veronika Podrez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the prediction market may show a different probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as information and opinions evolve. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the potential winner of the Poitiers tennis match. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Poitiers tennis match between Veronika Podrez and Francesca Curmi, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. For example, reports of an injury to one of the players would likely increase the price of shares for their opponent. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament could also impact the perceived advantage of each player. Furthermore, any major upsets in other matches featuring these players leading up to the event could also influence trading activity and move this market.