TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Iliev and Hanna Bougouffa in the W75 Poitiers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Iliev' if Sarah Iliev advances against Hanna Bougouffa. This market will resolve to 'Hanna Bougouffa' if Hanna Bougouffa advances against Sarah Iliev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Iliev and Hanna Bougouffa in the W75 Poitiers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Iliev' if Sarah Iliev advances against Hanna Bougouffa. This market will resolve to 'Hanna Bougouffa' if Hanna Bougouffa advances against Sarah Iliev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines with a built-in margin for profit, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially favor one player, the prediction market can shift based on new information or differing analyses, potentially revealing a more nuanced expectation of the match’s result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player’s victory will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Poitiers tennis match between Sarah Iliev and Hanna Bougouffa. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to the final market odds.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting an outdoor court), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, even those not directly related to the players themselves, might impact trading activity and, consequently, the market’s price.