TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Maquet and Diana Marcinkevica in the W75 Poitiers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Diana Marcinkevica. This market will resolve to 'Diana Marcinkevica' if Diana Marcinkevica advances against Margaux Maquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Maquet and Diana Marcinkevica in the W75 Poitiers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Diana Marcinkevica. This market will resolve to 'Diana Marcinkevica' if Diana Marcinkevica advances against Margaux Maquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' and incorporating a wider range of information. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it might indicate differing opinions on the players' chances or access to unique information. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when there's strong public interest in the event.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Poitiers tennis match between Margaux Maquet and Diana Marcinkevica will determine the resolution. The official results from the tournament organizers will be used to verify the outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's result, based on the actual event completion and publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the probabilities. Strong support for one player on social media or in expert analysis could also lead to increased trading volume and a corresponding change in the market's price. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the perceived likelihood of each player winning.