TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francoise Abanda and Marine Szostak in the W75 Poitiers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francoise Abanda' if Francoise Abanda advances against Marine Szostak. This market will resolve to 'Marine Szostak' if Marine Szostak advances against Francoise Abanda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francoise Abanda and Marine Szostak in the W75 Poitiers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francoise Abanda' if Francoise Abanda advances against Marine Szostak. This market will resolve to 'Marine Szostak' if Marine Szostak advances against Francoise Abanda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, such as on-the-ground insights or subtle player news. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with conventional wisdom.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome – in this case, either Francoise Abanda or Marine Szostak winning the match. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Poitiers tennis match between Francoise Abanda and Marine Szostak, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reflected on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by either player in practice sessions, might also lead to adjustments. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could signal a shift in expectations, causing the probabilities to move. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.