TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Curmi and Clara Vlasselaer in the W75 Poitiers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Clara Vlasselaer. This market will resolve to 'Clara Vlasselaer' if Clara Vlasselaer advances against Francesca Curmi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Curmi and Clara Vlasselaer in the W75 Poitiers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Clara Vlasselaer. This market will resolve to 'Clara Vlasselaer' if Clara Vlasselaer advances against Francesca Curmi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. This can lead to differences, particularly when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of people believe a certain player will win, the odds on Polymarket may reflect that sentiment more accurately than sportsbook odds, which may be influenced by the sportsbook’s need to balance risk and profit. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Poitiers tennis match between Francesca Curmi and Clara Vlasselaer. The player who wins the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the winning outcome for this market. Any potential delays or disruptions to the match schedule will be taken into consideration to ensure a fair and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather if the match is outdoors), or updates on player form could all impact the perceived probabilities. A strong performance by one player in a preceding tournament, or even social media commentary from tennis analysts, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of each player’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market.