TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Martynov and Anastasiia Firman in the W75 Poitiers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana Martynov' if Diana Martynov advances against Anastasiia Firman. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Firman' if Anastasiia Firman advances against Diana Martynov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Martynov and Anastasiia Firman in the W75 Poitiers, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana Martynov' if Diana Martynov advances against Anastasiia Firman. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Firman' if Anastasiia Firman advances against Diana Martynov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders continuously adjust their positions based on the latest developments surrounding the Poitiers tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Poitiers tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood, continuously adjusting as new information becomes available and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Poitiers tennis match between Diana Martynov and Anastasiia Firman, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match, allowing for a clear and definitive settlement of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or commentary from tennis analysts regarding the players’ form, could also influence the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – would likely cause a corresponding price movement. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market leading up to the match’s conclusion.