TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Firman and Marine Partaud in the W75 Poitiers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Firman' if Anastasiia Firman advances against Marine Partaud. This market will resolve to 'Marine Partaud' if Marine Partaud advances against Anastasiia Firman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Firman and Marine Partaud in the W75 Poitiers, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Firman' if Anastasiia Firman advances against Marine Partaud. This market will resolve to 'Marine Partaud' if Marine Partaud advances against Anastasiia Firman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a growing consensus that it is more likely to happen. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. The market efficiently aggregates information from all participants, resulting in a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Poitiers tennis match between Anastasiia Firman and Marine Partaud. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the respective shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis, could also drive price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Nov 2, 2026 resolution.