TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Steiner and Mariam Bolkvadze in the W75 Glasgow, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Steiner' if Valentina Steiner advances against Mariam Bolkvadze. This market will resolve to 'Mariam Bolkvadze' if Mariam Bolkvadze advances against Valentina Steiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Steiner and Mariam Bolkvadze in the W75 Glasgow, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Steiner' if Valentina Steiner advances against Mariam Bolkvadze. This market will resolve to 'Mariam Bolkvadze' if Mariam Bolkvadze advances against Valentina Steiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction market odds are constantly evolving based on trader activity, and may not always align with traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the players' chances in the Glasgow tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Glasgow tennis match between Valentina Steiner and Mariam Bolkvadze, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of each player’s form. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive trading activity and alter the implied probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.