TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Murray and Elizabeth Jurna in the W75 Glasgow, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Murray' if Kate Murray advances against Elizabeth Jurna. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Jurna' if Elizabeth Jurna advances against Kate Murray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Murray and Elizabeth Jurna in the W75 Glasgow, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Murray' if Kate Murray advances against Elizabeth Jurna. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Jurna' if Elizabeth Jurna advances against Kate Murray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to potential discrepancies. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook, especially in situations with nuanced factors or limited public data. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Kate Murray will win, for example, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated forecast of all participants in the market, offering a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kate Murray versus Elizabeth Jurna tennis match in Glasgow. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the event's conclusion. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather forecasts for an outdoor court), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the price of shares, reflecting evolving expectations about the Glasgow tennis match.