TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Gardiner and Fiona Crawley in the W75 Glasgow, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Gardiner' if Kate Gardiner advances against Fiona Crawley. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Crawley' if Fiona Crawley advances against Kate Gardiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Gardiner and Fiona Crawley in the W75 Glasgow, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Gardiner' if Kate Gardiner advances against Fiona Crawley. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Crawley' if Fiona Crawley advances against Kate Gardiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand – traders are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of each player winning, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the result. This dynamic process aims to converge towards a true probability assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Glasgow tennis match between Kate Gardiner and Fiona Crawley, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness, providing a definitive resolution for all traders.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could create momentum in a particular direction. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts, while not directly reflected in the market, could also indirectly influence trading behavior and cause the odds to fluctuate.