TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgiana Mititelu and Vanja Gudelj in the W75 Glasgow, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgiana Mititelu' if Georgiana Mititelu advances against Vanja Gudelj. This market will resolve to 'Vanja Gudelj' if Vanja Gudelj advances against Georgiana Mititelu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgiana Mititelu and Vanja Gudelj in the W75 Glasgow, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgiana Mititelu' if Georgiana Mititelu advances against Vanja Gudelj. This market will resolve to 'Vanja Gudelj' if Vanja Gudelj advances against Georgiana Mititelu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Glasgow tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing player will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also play a role. Public statements from coaches or players, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also move this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.