TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amelie Brooks and Kate Gardiner in the W75 Glasgow, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Brooks' if Amelie Brooks advances against Kate Gardiner. This market will resolve to 'Kate Gardiner' if Kate Gardiner advances against Amelie Brooks. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amelie Brooks and Kate Gardiner in the W75 Glasgow, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Brooks' if Amelie Brooks advances against Kate Gardiner. This market will resolve to 'Kate Gardiner' if Kate Gardiner advances against Amelie Brooks. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to discrepancies with this market. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, and the platform facilitates efficient price discovery based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Amelie Brooks versus Kate Gardiner tennis match in Glasgow. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing. It’s important to monitor for official announcements regarding the match result to understand when resolution will occur.
Several factors could influence the price action of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived likelihood of their success. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market.