TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhenikhova and Madhurima Sawant in the W50 Stara Zagora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Madhurima Sawant. This market will resolve to 'Madhurima Sawant' if Madhurima Sawant advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhenikhova and Madhurima Sawant in the W50 Stara Zagora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Madhurima Sawant. This market will resolve to 'Madhurima Sawant' if Madhurima Sawant advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the likelihood of certain outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Zhenikhova vs Sawant match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or opinions beyond what is reflected in trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Stara Zagora match between Sonja Zhenikhova and Madhurima Sawant, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Sonja Zhenikhova or Madhurima Sawant could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of their success. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also affect market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, causing the price to move rapidly. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators or analysts could also contribute to price fluctuations.