TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafaela Simeonova and Elena Papadopoulou in the W50 Stara Zagora, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafaela Simeonova' if Rafaela Simeonova advances against Elena Papadopoulou. This market will resolve to 'Elena Papadopoulou' if Elena Papadopoulou advances against Rafaela Simeonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafaela Simeonova and Elena Papadopoulou in the W50 Stara Zagora, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafaela Simeonova' if Rafaela Simeonova advances against Elena Papadopoulou. This market will resolve to 'Elena Papadopoulou' if Elena Papadopoulou advances against Rafaela Simeonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to new information and shifts in sentiment. Examining these differences can be insightful for anyone following the Stara Zagora tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Stara Zagora tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results, driven by the actions of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stara Zagora tennis match between Rafaela Simeonova and Elena Papadopoulou. The platform will verify the winner against established tennis authorities and publicly available match data to determine the winning share and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed participants could signal a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 19, 2026.