TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniella Dimitrova and Carolina Alves in the W50 Stara Zagora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniella Dimitrova' if Daniella Dimitrova advances against Carolina Alves. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Alves' if Carolina Alves advances against Daniella Dimitrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniella Dimitrova and Carolina Alves in the W50 Stara Zagora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniella Dimitrova' if Daniella Dimitrova advances against Carolina Alves. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Alves' if Carolina Alves advances against Daniella Dimitrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of crowd, where traders directly bet on the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are correct. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Stara Zagora match between Daniella Dimitrova and Carolina Alves, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in the winning outcome(s).
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis suggesting a change in either player's strategy, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment could impact the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Oct 20, 2026.