TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexia-Shara Iancu and Gabriela Vilar in the W50 Stara Zagora, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Gabriela Vilar. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Vilar' if Gabriela Vilar advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexia-Shara Iancu and Gabriela Vilar in the W50 Stara Zagora, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Gabriela Vilar. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Vilar' if Gabriela Vilar advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s prices are determined by traders willing to buy or sell based on their own information and beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see differences, especially before a large amount of betting occurs on either side.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of those trading on the platform, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Iancu-Vilar match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Stara Zagora match between Alexia-Shara Iancu and Gabriela Vilar. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result, as this will trigger the settlement of all outstanding shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one side – could drive the price in that direction. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Oct 18, 2026.