TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thara Gowda and Sophia Xie in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thara Gowda' if Thara Gowda advances against Sophia Xie. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Xie' if Sophia Xie advances against Thara Gowda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thara Gowda and Sophia Xie in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thara Gowda' if Thara Gowda advances against Sophia Xie. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Xie' if Sophia Xie advances against Thara Gowda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a player's chances, the odds here may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered, as this market efficiently incorporates new information and diverse perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic indicator of expectations for the Quebec City tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Quebec City tennis match, determining which player won. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market’s settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed traders can quickly move the market, reflecting new information or a change in overall expectations for the Quebec City tennis match.