TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 5:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thara Gowda and Reese Brantmeier in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thara Gowda' if Thara Gowda advances against Reese Brantmeier. This market will resolve to 'Reese Brantmeier' if Reese Brantmeier advances against Thara Gowda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thara Gowda and Reese Brantmeier in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thara Gowda' if Thara Gowda advances against Reese Brantmeier. This market will resolve to 'Reese Brantmeier' if Reese Brantmeier advances against Thara Gowda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as assessed by traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes showing odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks. However, as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, the odds on Polymarket often converge with those offered elsewhere, reflecting a collective assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb. Conversely, if traders become less confident, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the official result of the Thara Gowda vs Reese Brantmeier tennis match in Quebec City. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the winner and finalize the market. The outcome will be based on the official score reported by the tournament organizers.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probability of each player winning. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media or expert analysis, could also contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves.