TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphaelle Lacasse and Andrea Cabio in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphaelle Lacasse' if Raphaelle Lacasse advances against Andrea Cabio. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Cabio' if Andrea Cabio advances against Raphaelle Lacasse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphaelle Lacasse and Andrea Cabio in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphaelle Lacasse' if Raphaelle Lacasse advances against Andrea Cabio. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Cabio' if Andrea Cabio advances against Raphaelle Lacasse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price, and the greater the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Quebec City W50 tennis match between Raphaelle Lacasse and Andrea Cabio. This includes verifying the winner of the match through official tournament results and reporting. The platform will then determine the payout based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, could also impact trading activity. A strong performance by either player in a preceding tournament could also shift the odds, as could any updates on their current form and fitness.