TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphaelle Lacasse and Amy Lu in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphaelle Lacasse' if Raphaelle Lacasse advances against Amy Lu. This market will resolve to 'Amy Lu' if Amy Lu advances against Raphaelle Lacasse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphaelle Lacasse and Amy Lu in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphaelle Lacasse' if Raphaelle Lacasse advances against Amy Lu. This market will resolve to 'Amy Lu' if Amy Lu advances against Raphaelle Lacasse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome, and these differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City tennis match between Raphaelle Lacasse and Amy Lu, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially recorded, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over another. Furthermore, changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market as traders react to new information.