TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Mimi Xu in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Mimi Xu. This market will resolve to 'Mimi Xu' if Mimi Xu advances against Michaela Bayerlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Mimi Xu in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Mimi Xu. This market will resolve to 'Mimi Xu' if Mimi Xu advances against Michaela Bayerlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by real-money trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer. Comparing the two can highlight interesting insights into public perception and potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bayerlova vs Xu match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City match between Michaela Bayerlova and Mimi Xu. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or updates on their physical condition, could also cause movement. Even broader factors like weather forecasts for Quebec City, or changes in betting trends observed elsewhere, could impact trading activity and the implied probabilities within this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.