TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Mia Kupres in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Mia Kupres. This market will resolve to 'Mia Kupres' if Mia Kupres advances against Michaela Bayerlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Mia Kupres in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Mia Kupres. This market will resolve to 'Mia Kupres' if Mia Kupres advances against Michaela Bayerlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match's potential results. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing model based on the latest information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City match between Michaela Bayerlova and Mia Kupres. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. A strong showing by either player in another tournament leading up to the match could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large-volume trades on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the players' recent form will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.