TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Poling and Luisa Hrda in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Poling' if Lilian Poling advances against Luisa Hrda. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Hrda' if Luisa Hrda advances against Lilian Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Poling and Luisa Hrda in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Poling' if Lilian Poling advances against Luisa Hrda. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Hrda' if Luisa Hrda advances against Lilian Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders can instantly adjust their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the collective belief of traders on Polymarket regarding who will win the Poling vs Hrda match. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and updates.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City match between Lilian Poling and Luisa Hrda. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements and results as the event approaches to understand the basis for settlement. This will finalize the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Lilian Poling or Luisa Hrda could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in market perception, leading to price movements in this market.