TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Poling and Elisabeth Djabourian in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Poling' if Lilian Poling advances against Elisabeth Djabourian. This market will resolve to 'Elisabeth Djabourian' if Elisabeth Djabourian advances against Lilian Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Poling and Elisabeth Djabourian in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Poling' if Lilian Poling advances against Elisabeth Djabourian. This market will resolve to 'Elisabeth Djabourian' if Elisabeth Djabourian advances against Lilian Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their bets. However, sportsbook odds are established by professional oddsmakers who consider various factors, including team statistics, player performance, and external influences. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information access and the incentives of each system. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as the event draws closer and more information is factored in by prediction market traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the result of the Poling vs Djabourian match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City match between Lilian Poling and Elisabeth Djabourian, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts or changes in betting odds from sportsbooks could also impact the market. Furthermore, broader news events or even social media trends related to the players could introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the prediction of the Poling vs Djabourian match.