TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katherine Sebov and Francoise Abanda in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katherine Sebov' if Katherine Sebov advances against Francoise Abanda. This market will resolve to 'Francoise Abanda' if Francoise Abanda advances against Katherine Sebov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katherine Sebov and Francoise Abanda in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katherine Sebov' if Katherine Sebov advances against Francoise Abanda. This market will resolve to 'Francoise Abanda' if Francoise Abanda advances against Katherine Sebov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain outcome in the Sebov vs Abanda match, the prediction market odds may move in the opposite direction. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sebov vs Abanda match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading on Polymarket, and the implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from its share price. Trading volume and open interest also influence price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Sebov vs Abanda match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. This includes confirmation of the winner of the match, as officially recorded. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to settle the market and distribute payouts to winning traders.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player confidence. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could trigger price movements, as could significant shifts in public opinion reflected in external polls or analyst predictions about the Sebov vs Abanda match.