TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kajsa Rinaldo Persson and Mimi Xu in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kajsa Rinaldo Persson' if Kajsa Rinaldo Persson advances against Mimi Xu. This market will resolve to 'Mimi Xu' if Mimi Xu advances against Kajsa Rinaldo Persson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kajsa Rinaldo Persson and Mimi Xu in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kajsa Rinaldo Persson' if Kajsa Rinaldo Persson advances against Mimi Xu. This market will resolve to 'Mimi Xu' if Mimi Xu advances against Kajsa Rinaldo Persson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus expert opinion regarding the W50 Quebec City tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City tennis match between Kajsa Rinaldo Persson and Mimi Xu, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player will be determined according to standard tennis scoring rules and regulations, and this information will be used to settle the market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even social media commentary from tennis analysts, could also cause fluctuations. A strong showing by either player in a practice session, or a change in their coaching staff, might also impact the probabilities reflected in this market.