TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kajsa Rinaldo Persson and Isabella Marton in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kajsa Rinaldo Persson' if Kajsa Rinaldo Persson advances against Isabella Marton. This market will resolve to 'Isabella Marton' if Isabella Marton advances against Kajsa Rinaldo Persson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kajsa Rinaldo Persson and Isabella Marton in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kajsa Rinaldo Persson' if Kajsa Rinaldo Persson advances against Isabella Marton. This market will resolve to 'Isabella Marton' if Isabella Marton advances against Kajsa Rinaldo Persson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to reflect more purely the perceived probability of an event occurring. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is constantly adjusting based on the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City match between Kajsa Rinaldo Persson and Isabella Marton. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to understand how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes in scheduling or venue, could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially leading to price fluctuations. Public opinion and expert analysis may also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders on Polymarket.