TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jamilah Snells and Eve Thibault in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jamilah Snells' if Jamilah Snells advances against Eve Thibault. This market will resolve to 'Eve Thibault' if Eve Thibault advances against Jamilah Snells. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jamilah Snells and Eve Thibault in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jamilah Snells' if Jamilah Snells advances against Eve Thibault. This market will resolve to 'Eve Thibault' if Eve Thibault advances against Jamilah Snells. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities of each athlete winning. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket regarding the Snells vs Thibault match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City match between Jamilah Snells and Eve Thibault. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified outcome of the match.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Jamilah Snells or Eve Thibault, such as injury reports or illness announcements, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match interviews, could also impact the odds. Unexpected developments in training or strategic shifts announced by either athlete's team could also shift market sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either athlete winning is likely to move this market.