TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Isabella Marton and Emy Gauvin in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isabella Marton' if Isabella Marton advances against Emy Gauvin. This market will resolve to 'Emy Gauvin' if Emy Gauvin advances against Isabella Marton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Isabella Marton and Emy Gauvin in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isabella Marton' if Isabella Marton advances against Emy Gauvin. This market will resolve to 'Emy Gauvin' if Emy Gauvin advances against Isabella Marton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially diverging from traditional sportsbook odds due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there is an arbitrage opportunity. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through distinct mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous, decentralized exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Marton vs Gauvin match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Isabella Marton versus Emy Gauvin match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical adjustments could also significantly impact the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, influencing traders’ decisions and causing price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.