TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francoise Abanda and Alexia Tchamani in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francoise Abanda' if Francoise Abanda advances against Alexia Tchamani. This market will resolve to 'Alexia Tchamani' if Alexia Tchamani advances against Francoise Abanda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francoise Abanda and Alexia Tchamani in the W50 Quebec City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francoise Abanda' if Francoise Abanda advances against Alexia Tchamani. This market will resolve to 'Alexia Tchamani' if Alexia Tchamani advances against Francoise Abanda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they move in response to early market action on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is influenced by new information, expert opinions, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and evolving prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Abanda vs Tchamani match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will rely on official results from the tournament organizers to establish the definitive outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process is based on publicly available information and is independent of any individual opinions or interpretations.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Francoise Abanda or Alexia Tchamani, or changes in playing conditions could all shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also impact trading activity. Monitoring tennis news and following expert predictions will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market on Polymarket.