TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Clemence Mercier and Sara Saito in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clemence Mercier' if Clemence Mercier advances against Sara Saito. This market will resolve to 'Sara Saito' if Sara Saito advances against Clemence Mercier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Clemence Mercier and Sara Saito in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clemence Mercier' if Clemence Mercier advances against Sara Saito. This market will resolve to 'Sara Saito' if Sara Saito advances against Clemence Mercier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s important to consider both sources of information when making your own assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Clemence Mercier vs Sara Saito match. The price of these shares reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand, providing a constantly updated assessment of the event's likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Clemence Mercier vs Sara Saito match, as reported by the governing body for the W50 Quebec City tournament. The market will determine which player is declared the winner of the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the tournament schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create momentum and move the market. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the implied probability of each outcome.