TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayana Akli and Annabelle Xu in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayana Akli' if Ayana Akli advances against Annabelle Xu. This market will resolve to 'Annabelle Xu' if Annabelle Xu advances against Ayana Akli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayana Akli and Annabelle Xu in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayana Akli' if Ayana Akli advances against Annabelle Xu. This market will resolve to 'Annabelle Xu' if Annabelle Xu advances against Ayana Akli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information advantages, or simply varying levels of public interest in the Akli-Xu Quebec City match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Akli-Xu Quebec City match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by new information, expert analysis, and overall market sentiment. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Akli-Xu Quebec City match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could influence trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts, shifts in betting trends at sportsbooks, and even social media discussions could also contribute to price fluctuations. Furthermore, any unforeseen circumstances affecting the match schedule or venue could also impact the market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities surrounding the Akli-Xu Quebec City match.