TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Justina Mikulskyte in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Justina Mikulskyte. This market will resolve to 'Justina Mikulskyte' if Justina Mikulskyte advances against Ariana Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Justina Mikulskyte in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Justina Mikulskyte. This market will resolve to 'Justina Mikulskyte' if Justina Mikulskyte advances against Ariana Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it may indicate differing levels of information or varying perspectives on the likelihood of each player winning. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Quebec City match between Ariana Arseneault and Justina Mikulskyte. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner and finalize the market. Traders should monitor official announcements from relevant sporting authorities for updates regarding the event and its eventual outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader changes in the competitive landscape, might also impact the odds. Public statements from analysts or experts offering predictions could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the relative strengths of Arseneault and Mikulskyte has the potential to move this market.