TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Montserrat Marron Baruqui and Ipek Oz in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Montserrat Marron Baruqui' if Montserrat Marron Baruqui advances against Ipek Oz. This market will resolve to 'Ipek Oz' if Ipek Oz advances against Montserrat Marron Baruqui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Montserrat Marron Baruqui and Ipek Oz in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Montserrat Marron Baruqui' if Montserrat Marron Baruqui advances against Ipek Oz. This market will resolve to 'Ipek Oz' if Ipek Oz advances against Montserrat Marron Baruqui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when there's a lot of information available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value if they diverge significantly from the probabilities expressed in this market, providing an opportunity for arbitrage.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Morelia tennis match between Montserrat Marron Baruqui and Ipek Oz, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome was the winner. The market will close prior to the official result being published, allowing time for settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts at the match location might also play a role, as could updates on head-to-head records or recent performance. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price adjustments in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning could move the market.