TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Midori Castillo Meza and Anastasia Tikhonova in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Midori Castillo Meza' if Midori Castillo Meza advances against Anastasia Tikhonova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Tikhonova' if Anastasia Tikhonova advances against Midori Castillo Meza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Midori Castillo Meza and Anastasia Tikhonova in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Midori Castillo Meza' if Midori Castillo Meza advances against Anastasia Tikhonova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Tikhonova' if Anastasia Tikhonova advances against Midori Castillo Meza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of a particular outcome. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when a large and informed trading volume exists.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perceptions about the Castillo Meza vs Tikhonova match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Morelia match between Midori Castillo Meza and Anastasia Tikhonova. The platform will rely on established sports data sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Midori Castillo Meza or Anastasia Tikhonova could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the W50 Morelia tournament, might also impact trading volume and price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the convictions of traders on Polymarket.