TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Malaika Rapolu and Maria Sholokhova in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Malaika Rapolu' if Malaika Rapolu advances against Maria Sholokhova. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Malaika Rapolu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Malaika Rapolu and Maria Sholokhova in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Malaika Rapolu' if Malaika Rapolu advances against Maria Sholokhova. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Malaika Rapolu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market has identified information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhova match as determined by the governing body of W50 Morelia. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform's guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final outcome and resolution details.
Several signals or events could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or even significant media coverage discussing the players’ form, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants might indicate new information entering the market, causing a price adjustment. Monitoring these factors could provide insights into potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each player winning.