TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Justina Mikulskyte and Giulia Alessia Monteleone in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justina Mikulskyte' if Justina Mikulskyte advances against Giulia Alessia Monteleone. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Alessia Monteleone' if Giulia Alessia Monteleone advances against Justina Mikulskyte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Justina Mikulskyte and Giulia Alessia Monteleone in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justina Mikulskyte' if Justina Mikulskyte advances against Giulia Alessia Monteleone. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Alessia Monteleone' if Giulia Alessia Monteleone advances against Justina Mikulskyte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Morelia tennis match between Justina Mikulskyte and Giulia Alessia Monteleone. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match and finalize the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will ultimately be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. News regarding player form, such as injuries or recent match results, would likely have a significant impact. Any updates on playing conditions, like weather forecasts affecting the court surface, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the players' participation or changes in their coaching staff could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely be reflected in the trading volume and price of shares.