TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 7:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Judith Hernandez Miranda and Paula Vargas in the W50 Morelia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:23PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Judith Hernandez Miranda' if Judith Hernandez Miranda advances against Paula Vargas. This market will resolve to 'Paula Vargas' if Paula Vargas advances against Judith Hernandez Miranda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Judith Hernandez Miranda and Paula Vargas in the W50 Morelia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:23PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Judith Hernandez Miranda' if Judith Hernandez Miranda advances against Paula Vargas. This market will resolve to 'Paula Vargas' if Paula Vargas advances against Judith Hernandez Miranda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the likelihood of a particular fighter winning the match, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Morelia fight between Judith Hernandez Miranda and Paula Vargas, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected announcements about their condition could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, as well as analysis from boxing experts, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also be reflected in the price action on Polymarket.