TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Judith Hernandez Miranda and Julia Garcia in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Judith Hernandez Miranda' if Judith Hernandez Miranda advances against Julia Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Julia Garcia' if Julia Garcia advances against Judith Hernandez Miranda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Judith Hernandez Miranda and Julia Garcia in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Judith Hernandez Miranda' if Judith Hernandez Miranda advances against Julia Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Julia Garcia' if Julia Garcia advances against Judith Hernandez Miranda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Frequently, prediction markets can offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest and information available. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for understanding the initial public perception of the match and identifying potential value discrepancies within this market. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and informative signal about the expected result of the Hernandez vs Garcia match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Morelia boxing match between Judith Hernandez Miranda and Julia Garcia, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the confirmed outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimes, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s conditions, such as a late venue change or alterations to the rules, could also cause significant movement. Public opinion shifts, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving perceptions of each fighter’s chances in the Hernandez vs Garcia match.