TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jo-Yee Chan and Luisa Hrda in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jo-Yee Chan' if Jo-Yee Chan advances against Luisa Hrda. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Hrda' if Luisa Hrda advances against Jo-Yee Chan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jo-Yee Chan and Luisa Hrda in the W50 Morelia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jo-Yee Chan' if Jo-Yee Chan advances against Luisa Hrda. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Hrda' if Luisa Hrda advances against Jo-Yee Chan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessments, while this market represents a crowd-sourced forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or the incentive structures of each venue. If significant differences emerge, it may suggest that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Chan vs Hrda match, or vice versa.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Chan vs Hrda match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives, creating a dynamic and efficient forecast. The current price indicates the collective assessment of the likelihood of each outcome, providing a real-time view of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Morelia match between Jo-Yee Chan and Luisa Hrda, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any potential disputes will be resolved by referencing official tournament records and widely accepted tennis reporting sources.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 3, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in related matches or shifts in public perception of the players’ strengths and weaknesses are additional signals that could lead to price movements in this market concerning the Chan vs Hrda match.